Research on a Real-Time Prediction Method of Hull Girder Loads Based on Different Recurrent Neural Network Models

Abstract

Real-time prediction of hull girder loads is of great significance for the safety of ship structures. Some scholars have used neural network technology to investigate hull girder load real-time prediction methods based on motion monitoring data. With the development of deep learning technology, a variety of recurrent neural networks have been proposed; however, there is still a lack of systematic comparative analysis on the prediction performance of different networks. In addition, the real motion monitoring data inevitably contains noise, and the effect of data noise has not been fully considered in previous studies. In this paper, four different recurrent neural network models are comparatively investigated, and the effect of different levels of noise on the prediction accuracy of various load components is systematically analyzed. It is found that the GRU network is suitable for predicting the torsional moment and horizontal bending moment, and the LSTM network is suitable for predicting the vertical bending moment. Although filtering has been applied to the original noise data, the prediction accuracy still decreased as the noise level increased. The prediction accuracy of the vertical bending moment and horizontal bending moment is higher than that of the torsional moment.

Keywords

• ship structure
• hull girder loads
• recurrent neural network
• ship motion
• noise level