Long-term forecast of mountain and lowland rivers runoff for assessment their hydropower potential (on the example of Ukrainian Carpaty and Belarus)

Abstract

The problems of the effects of climate warming on the formation of the water resources of the Ukrainian Carpaty and the territory of Belarus in the near and distant future. The results of the application of modeling techniques and balances to calculate the forecast river runoff of the Ukrainian Carpaty. For the conditions of Belarus are the results of the forecast river flow in Belarus on the basis of the analysis of atmospheric circulation types. Proven balance method of forecasting water runoff changes and prediction under climate warming in the near and distant future it is recommended to use in the case of Belarus. In the future, you need to update forecasts for more detailed calculations of water resources in both countries. The use of the balance method in the evaluation of water resources has a good prospect for regional hydrological researches.

Keywords

• warming
• forecast
• balance sheet liability method
• circulation
• energy
• carpaty
• belarus