ECONOMETRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FOREIGN TRADE OF UKRAINE IN SERVICES

Abstract

Econometrical models of the services export from Ukraine and the import to Ukraine in general, from the CIS countries, other European and Asian countries are constructed and established based on seasonal and trend components. The forecast of investigated indices for II, III and IV quarter of 2013 is made based on these constructed models.

Keywords

• linear trend model
• parabolic trend model
• point forecast
• interval forecast
• determination coefficient