Emerging Infectious Diseases (Aug 2015)

Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks

  • John M. Drake,
  • Iurii Bakach,
  • Matthew R. Just,
  • Suzanne M. O’Regan,
  • Manoj Gambhir,
  • Isaac Chun-Hai Fung

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2108.141613
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 21, no. 8
pp. 1447 – 1450

Abstract

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To guide the collection of data under emergent epidemic conditions, we reviewed compartmental models of historical Ebola outbreaks to determine their implications and limitations. We identified future modeling directions and propose that the minimal epidemiologic dataset for Ebola model construction comprises duration of incubation period and symptomatic period, distribution of secondary cases by infection setting, and compliance with intervention recommendations.

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