Earth's Future (May 2022)

Focus of the IPCC Assessment Reports Has Shifted to Lower Temperatures

  • Florian U. Jehn,
  • Luke Kemp,
  • Ekaterina Ilin,
  • Christoph Funk,
  • Jason R. Wang,
  • Lutz Breuer

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002876
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10, no. 5
pp. n/a – n/a

Abstract

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Abstract We focus on how different global temperature increases represented in IPCC reports have shifted over time. While the first four assessment reports had a roughly equal focus on temperatures above and below 2°C, the more recent fifth and sixth assessment reports have a considerably stronger focus on warming below 2°C. This is concerning as warming above 2°C is more likely given current emissions trajectories and is more influential on climate risk assessments.

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