Nature Communications (Sep 2022)
Predicting the evolution of the Lassa virus endemic area and population at risk over the next decades
- Raphaëlle Klitting,
- Liana E. Kafetzopoulou,
- Wim Thiery,
- Gytis Dudas,
- Sophie Gryseels,
- Anjali Kotamarthi,
- Bram Vrancken,
- Karthik Gangavarapu,
- Mambu Momoh,
- John Demby Sandi,
- Augustine Goba,
- Foday Alhasan,
- Donald S. Grant,
- Sylvanus Okogbenin,
- Ephraim Ogbaini-Emovo,
- Robert F. Garry,
- Allison R. Smither,
- Mark Zeller,
- Matthias G. Pauthner,
- Michelle McGraw,
- Laura D. Hughes,
- Sophie Duraffour,
- Stephan Günther,
- Marc A. Suchard,
- Philippe Lemey,
- Kristian G. Andersen,
- Simon Dellicour
Affiliations
- Raphaëlle Klitting
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Liana E. Kafetzopoulou
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, KU Leuven - University of Leuven
- Wim Thiery
- Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
- Gytis Dudas
- Institute of Biotechnology, Life Sciences Center, Vilnius University
- Sophie Gryseels
- Evolutionary Ecology group, Department of Biology, University of Antwerp
- Anjali Kotamarthi
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Bram Vrancken
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, KU Leuven - University of Leuven
- Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Mambu Momoh
- Eastern Technical University of Sierra Leone
- John Demby Sandi
- Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Program, Kenema Government Hospital, Ministry of Health and Sanitation
- Augustine Goba
- Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Program, Kenema Government Hospital, Ministry of Health and Sanitation
- Foday Alhasan
- Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Program, Kenema Government Hospital, Ministry of Health and Sanitation
- Donald S. Grant
- Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Program, Kenema Government Hospital, Ministry of Health and Sanitation
- Sylvanus Okogbenin
- Irrua Specialist Teaching Hospital
- Ephraim Ogbaini-Emovo
- Irrua Specialist Teaching Hospital
- Robert F. Garry
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Tulane University, School of Medicine
- Allison R. Smither
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Tulane University, School of Medicine
- Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Matthias G. Pauthner
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Michelle McGraw
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Laura D. Hughes
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Sophie Duraffour
- Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine
- Stephan Günther
- Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine
- Marc A. Suchard
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California
- Philippe Lemey
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, KU Leuven - University of Leuven
- Kristian G. Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute
- Simon Dellicour
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory for Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, KU Leuven - University of Leuven
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33112-3
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 13,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 15
Abstract
It is currently unknown how climate and land use changes could affect the endemic area of Lassa virus, a zoonotic pathogen responsible for Lassa fever. Here, the authors show that by 2070, new regions in Africa will likely become ecologically suitable for Lassa virus, drastically increasing the population living in conditions favourable for virus circulation.
