Post-process correction improves the accuracy of satellite PM_2.5 retrievals

Abstract

Estimates of PM2.5 levels are crucial for monitoring air quality and studying the epidemiological impact of air quality on the population. Currently, the most precise measurements of PM2.5 are obtained from ground stations, resulting in limited spatial coverage. In this study, we consider satellite-based PM2.5 retrieval, which involves conversion of high-resolution satellite retrieval of aerosol optical depth (AOD) into high-resolution PM2.5 retrieval. To improve the accuracy of the AOD-to-PM2.5 conversion, we employ the machine-learning-based post-process correction to correct the AOD-to-PM conversion ratio derived from Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis model data. The post-process-correction approach utilizes a fusion and downscaling of satellite observation and retrieval data, MERRA-2 reanalysis data, various high-resolution geographical indicators, meteorological data, and ground station observations for learning a predictor for the approximation error in the AOD-to-PM2.5 conversion ratio. The corrected conversion ratio is then applied to estimate PM2.5 levels given the high-resolution satellite AOD retrieval data derived from Sentinel-3 observations. The region of study is central Europe during the year 2019. Our model produces PM2.5 estimates with a spatial resolution of 100 m at satellite overpass times with R2 = 0.55 and RMSE = 6.2 µg m−3. The corresponding metrics for monthly averages are R2 = 0.72 and RMSE = 3.7 µg m−3. Additionally, we have incorporated an ensemble of neural networks to provide error envelopes for machine-learning-related uncertainty in the PM2.5 estimates. The proposed approach can produce accurate high-resolution PM2.5 data that can be very useful for air quality monitoring, emission regulation, and epidemiological studies.