The Dutch Disease in Angola: An Empirical Analysis

Abstract

Despite being the second largest oil exporter in Africa, Angola continues to lag behind in most macroeconomic and institutional indicators. At least partially, this is a consequence of the Dutch disease, a phenomenon that establishes a clear link between high resource endowments and lack of economic diversity through the loss of international competitiveness in non-resource sectors. In this paper, we use a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model to identify the cointegrated relationship between international oil prices and the real effective exchange rate of the kwanza, which is a striking sign of the presence of the Dutch disease.

Keywords

• resource curse
• spending effect
• real exchange rate
• cointegration