Model validation method by considering uncertainty for numerical simulation

Abstract

There is a great amount of uncertainties in the whole life cycle of a flight vehicle, which can induce anon-negligible uncertainty in the numerical simulation output, then the model validation of the numerical simulation is the premise of design optimization. Lots of researches on the uncertainty quantification (UQ) of numerical simulation has been carried out. However, literature has rarely seen works about performing scientific model parameter correction by using the results of UQ and establishing a closed-loop procedure of numerical simulation model validation in a systematic way. Therefore, a numerical simulation model validation method by considering uncertainties is proposed, and a model parameter correction approach based on high-quality small samples is developed, and then a closed-loop model validation process composed by uncertainty quantification, global sensitivity analysis, and parameter correction strategy to provide a scientific and systematic procedure for constructing high-fidelity numerical simulations is established. The effectiveness and advantages of the model validation method is verified through airfoil simulation.

Keywords

• 模型确认
• 不确定性量化
• 混沌多项式
• 深度学习