Social Depolarization: Blume–Capel Model

Abstract

This study belongs to an emerging area of research seeking ways to depolarize societies in the short run (around events such as elections) as well as in a sustainable fashion. We approach the depolarization process with a model of three homophilic groups (US Democrats, Republicans, and Independents interacting in the context of upcoming federal elections). We expand a previous polarization model, which assumed that each individual interacts with all other individuals in its group with mean-field interactions. We add a depolarization field, which is analogous to the Blume–Capel model’s crystal field. There are currently numerous depolarization efforts around the world, some of which act in ways similar to this depolarization field. We find that for low values of the depolarization field, the system continues to be polarized. When the depolarization field is increased, the polarization decreases.

Keywords

• political polarization
• depolarization
• anticipatory scenarios
• agent-based models
• opinion dynamics
• statistical physics approaches for social dynamics