The Role of Subsurface Changes and Environmental Factors in Shaping Urban Heat Islands in Southern Xinjiang

Abstract

The urban heat island (UHI) effect is one of the most prominent surface climate changes driven by human activities. This study examines the UHI characteristics and influencing factors in the Southern Xinjiang urban agglomeration using MODIS satellite data combined with observational datasets. Our results reveal a significant increase in impervious surfaces in the region between 1995 and 2015, with the most rapid expansion occurring from 2010 to 2015. This urban expansion is the primary driver of changes in UHI intensity. The analysis from 2000 to 2015 shows substantial spatial variation in UHI effects across cities. Hotan recorded the highest annual average daytime UHI intensity of 3.7 °C, while Aksu exhibited the lowest at approximately 1.6 °C. Daytime UHI intensity generally increased during the study period, with the highest intensities observed in the summer. However, nighttime UHI trends varied across cities, with most showing an increase in intensity. Temperature, precipitation, and aerosol optical depth (AOD) were identified as the main factors influencing annual average daytime UHI intensity, while PM10 concentration showed a weak and inconsistent correlation with UHI intensity, varying by city and season.

Keywords

• urban heat island
• MODIS
• AOD