Spatiotemporal Change in Livestock Population and Its Correlation with Meteorological Disasters during 2000–2020 across Inner Mongolia

Abstract

Inner Mongolia (IM) is one of the five major pastoral areas in China, and animal husbandry is its traditional industry. The population of livestock is an important factor affecting the sustainable development of livestock and grassland. Due to the special geographical location of IM, various meteorological disasters occur frequently, which have a significant impact on the local livestock population. In this study, principal component analysis (PCA) and geographically weighted principal component analysis (GWPCA) were used to explore the spatial and temporal patterns of small livestock and large livestock populations in county-level administrative units from 2000 to 2020, and the effects of meteorological disasters on livestock populations were also considered. We found that the cumulative proportion of total variance (CPTV) of the first two principal components of global PCA for small livestock and the first principal component for large livestock reached 94.54% and 91.98%, respectively, while the CPTV of GWPCA was in the range of 93.23–96.45% and 88.47–92.49%, respectively, which showed stronger spatial explanation; the small livestock population was significantly correlated with spring drought, summer drought, spring–summer drought and snow disaster. However, the correlation between large livestock and summer drought and spring–summer drought is greater. We conclude that GWPCA can better explain the spatial change of livestock populations; meteorological disasters have both advantages and disadvantages on the livestock population, and the drought types that have a greater impact on livestock are summer drought and spring–summer drought. There are geographical differences in the impact of meteorological disasters, with drought affecting most of IM and snow disaster mainly affecting the eastern region; large livestock were mainly affected by drought, while small livestock were affected by both drought and snow disaster.

Keywords

• livestock population
• GWPCA
• PCA
• meteorological disaster
• grassland
• IM