Сравнительная политика (Jun 2019)
ROUNDTABLE “PROSPECTS OF CHINESE REFORMS IN A CHANGED WORLD”. PART II: “SLOWDOWN OF CHINESE ECONOMY, THE TRADE WAR WITH THE UNITED STATES, AN ASSESSMENT OF POSSIBILITIES TO STIMULATE THE GROWTH IN CHINA”
Abstract
The Editorial Board of Comparative Politics Russia publishes a proceedings of the Roundtable “Prospects for Chinese Reforms in a Changed World.” Part II: “Slowdown of Chinese Economy, the Trade War with the United States, an Assessment of possibilities to Stimulate the Growth of China's Opportunities”, dedicated to the results of an analysis of the dynamics and current state of the process of economic and political reform in China. Researchers from Moscow State Institute of International Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, Institute of Far Eastern Studies of Russian Academy of Sciences, the Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia, Institute of Oriental Studies of Russian Academy of Sciences, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, General Staff Academy of the Russian Federation’s Armed Forces, Russian Institute for Strategic Studies, Lomonosov Moscow State University. Leading Russian experts discussed the new goals of Chinese reforms to gain world leadership in science and technology, the possibility of achieving these goals, their impact on China’s world standing, and the consequences of confrontation with the United States. The question also discussed are; whether would China increase tension with the West ‒ in the direction of expanding openness and liberalizing the economy, or towards increasing autarky in the spirit of “self-reliance”? What factors might prompt the Chinese leadership to undertake political reform? The experts also discussed the environment for the emergence of “Chinese model”, which can be offered as an alternative to the Western model to other countries and the possibility of Russia borrowing any components of the “Chinese model” at the current stage of development, as well as of the other post-Soviet countries. It also analyzed the likelihood that a new economic “pole” of the modern world will form around China, as well as possible benefits and threats for those who will try to join it.
