Mapping recent timber harvest activity in a temperate forest using single date airborne LiDAR surveys and machine learning: lessons for conservation planning

Abstract

Effective planning for natural resource management and wildlife conservation requires detailed information on vegetation structure at landscape scales and how structure is influenced by land-use practices. In many forested landscapes, the largest impacts of land use on forest structure are driven by forest management activities, which can include invasive species control, prescribed fire, partial harvests (e.g. shelterwood harvests) or overstory removals and clearcuts. Active timber management is often used to achieve forest conservation objectives, but to be used effectively, managers require knowledge of harvest frequency and extent in adjacent forests and at landscape scales. In this paper, we develop a timber harvest mapping workflow using machine learning (XGBoost algorithm) and single campaign airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) surveys for the state of Pennsylvania, USA. We show that harvest type (shelterwood and overstory removals) can be mapped at high accuracy (overall accuracy = 94.9%), including broad age classes defined by the number of years since harvest. Errors of omission (false negatives) were lowest for recent (30 m from an edge). The expectation that these harvest treatments would be rarer in private forests was not supported by the model results, which is likely due to the model’s inability to distinguish between alternative natural processes (weather damage, wildfire, pathogens, etc.) and forest treatment types (high-grading and firewood collection) that result in similar forest structures to the trained classes in the XGBoost model. This study provides a framework and validation for combining approachable machine-learning techniques with large-campaign LiDAR to accurately predict forest structure with application to a host of forestry, natural resource, and conservation-related problems. Future efforts that refine the model’s ability to better distinguish between more complex harvest classes and natural processes would be valuable.

Keywords

• Forest structure
• XGBoost
• overstory removal
• shelterwood
• private land
• public land