Selection of options for the reconstruction of the power supply system based on the fuzzy sets theory and the crit eria of decision-making theory

Abstract

The article proposes a method for selecting options for the reconstruction of the power supply system based on the criteria of decision-making theory. The reconstruction process is considered as a sequential game with two players : active and passive. The probability of possible states of the system is determined on the basis of the fuzzy sets theory. The main criterion for the choice of the reconstruction option is the value of damage from the power supply interruption. The application of the proposed method is considered on the example of a large metallurgical enterprise.

Keywords

• power supply system
• fuzzy sets theory
• decision-making theory
• game flow chart
• bayes criterion
• probable damage