SECURITY-ORIENTED MODEL OF BUSINESS RISK ASSESSMENT

Abstract

The paper is aimed to develop and test a comprehensive methodology for risk assessment based on a combination of expert assessment techniques and analysis of the sensitivity of profit to individual risk factors. This approach allows for determining the priority of measures to minimize the most significant risks in conditions of limited financial resources of the enterprise. To form an objective view of the effectiveness of risk management researchers proposed to use a comprehensive methodology for assessing the risks of business activity. As a result, the study formed an optimal configuration of information and analytical support for assessing the level of business risks. This technique is based on a combination of expert assessment techniques and analysis of the sensitivity of profit to individual risk factors and makes it possible, in conditions of limited financial resources, to identify risks that require priority management, and on this basis to form a security strategy for enterprise management. The results of the approbation of the complex methodology of risk assessment in the activities of domestic industrial enterprises indicate some advantages compared to other methodological approaches in this field of research. Firstly, risk ranking based on a combination of expert assessment and analysis of the sensitivity of profit to risk factors makes it possible to avoid subjectivity when determining the degree of risk impact on the company's performance indicators. Secondly, it becomes possible to objectively substantiate the priority of protective measures, which significantly strengthens the effectiveness of risk management and reduces the conflict of interests in the distribution of limited financial resources.

Keywords

• business risks
• security management strategy
• information model
• sensitivity analysis
• risk management
• risk map