نشریه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی (May 2012)
The Effect of Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature Oscillations on Precipitation of East Mountainsides of Zagros and Iran Central Basins
Abstract
In this research amount of seasonal effect of the Mediterranean Sea surface temperature (MedSST) has been investigated on seasonal precipitation of East Mountainsides of Zagros and Iran Central basins. For this purpose, warm, cold and base periods were determined for dates of MEDSST[1] in statistics period of (197-2005) for every season. Then statistic Medians of precipitation were determined so as (Rw, RC and Rb)[2] in each period and for all stations. Theses medians in every season and period were compared to specify amounts of these effects. The results indicated when MedSST is colder than base in winter season, precipitation of winter increases in the studied regions, but the temperatures of warmer than base in autumn increase autumn precipitation. Also MEDSST of colder than base of autumn is the cause of precipitation increase in winter and MEDSST of warmer than base of summer is cause of precipitation increase in autumn. The results of correlation analysis indicated that between oscillations of MEDSST and precipitation in winter there is negative correlation, in autumn it is positive correlation and between oscillations of MEDSST in autumn season and precipitation in winter season there is negative correlation. Between anomalies of MEDSST in summer and precipitation of autumn there does not exist any relevant correlation but between increases of autumn precipitation of the study region and warmer than normal MedSST of summer season the trends exist. [1]- Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature (MEDSST). [2]- Rain Median of Warm period, Rain Median of Cold period and Rain Median of Base period of Mediterranean SST.
