Investor sentiment and Euro area ETFs: an empirical analysis of consumer behaviour

Abstract

The goal of this article is to study the relationship between investor sentiment and Euro area Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), providing insights into the dynamics of market behaviour and the impact of consumer behaviour on investment patterns within the Eurozone. This paper has employed panel data analysis, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and the Granger causality test to investigate the relationship between ETFs and the consumer confidence index (CCI). Results suggest that CCI significantly negatively affects ETF pricing. While a weak positive correlation and regression relationship between iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF prices and CCI 19 Euro area markets have been found, the Granger causality test did not provide evidence of a causal relationship between the two variables. Other factors, such as financial stability, government regulations, and market-specific factors, may also affect ETF prices. The study concludes that, while CCI may be important, it should not be the only factor considered.

Keywords

• markets
• Euro area
• confidence index
• behavioural finance
• European Exchange Traded Fund