Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī (Sep 2007)
Trade Deficit in Iran’s Economy: Public or Private Sector?
Abstract
The main purpose of this paper is to analys the short and long run relationship between budget deficit and trade deficit, import and export, and Government revenues and expenditures. Also sustainability condition of trade deficit and budget deficit is examined. For doing so, we apply the time series econometrics techniques. The results show that to over come the budget deficit and trade deficit, the Government should, in the short run, decline budget deficit. In order to do this, we recommended that it has to decrease the taxes and increase the domestic deposits. We could not find any cointegration relationship between government revenues and expenditures, export and imports, and two deficits.