Biomath (Jan 2023)

A model for the early COVID-19 outbreak in China with case detection and behavioural change

  • Julien Arino,
  • Khalid El Hail,
  • Mohamed Khaladi,
  • Aziz Ouhinou

DOI
https://doi.org/10.55630/j.biomath.2022.12.207
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 2

Abstract

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We investigate a model of the early stage of the COVID-19 epidemic comprising undetected infected individuals as well as behavioural change towards the use of self-protection measures. The model is fitted to China data reported between 22 January and 29 June 2020. Using fitting results, we then consider model responses to varying screening intensities.

Keywords