Gas Consumptions Forecasting in 5th Economic, Social& Political Development Plan Horizon

Abstract

In recent decades energy sector has been most important division in sociopolitical national and international dialogs. Policy making in energy sector in Iran is a strategic subject because of independency of our national revenue to oil & gas export in one way and huge oil & gas reservoirs in Iran (137 billion barrel in oil and 28.3 million cubic meter in gas) in other hand. This paper investigates the gas consumption in home/business, power plant, industry, injection to reservoirs and export sector at the past years and then forecast it in any sectors.gas allocation affected by some variables such as weather, national stability, gas price and so on. Data gathered and analyzed monthly by EVIEW6 software. Results shown that gas consumption in any section affected by home/business consumption.

Keywords

• allocation
• Energy Policy Making
• Forecast
• Gas consumption
• Injection to Reservoirs.
• Supply Stability