Scientific Reports (Aug 2024)

Numerical model of debris flow susceptibility using slope stability failure machine learning prediction with metaheuristic techniques trained with different algorithms

  • Kennedy C. Onyelowe,
  • Arif Ali Baig Moghal,
  • Furquan Ahmad,
  • Ateekh Ur Rehman,
  • Shadi Hanandeh

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70634-w
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 14, no. 1
pp. 1 – 27

Abstract

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Abstract In this work, intelligent numerical models for the prediction of debris flow susceptibility using slope stability failure factor of safety (FOS) machine learning predictions have been developed. These machine learning techniques were trained using novel metaheuristic methods. The application of these training mechanisms was necessitated by the need to enhance the robustness and performance of the three main machine learning methods. It was necessary to develop intelligent models for the prediction of the FOS of debris flow down a slope with measured geometry due to the sophisticated equipment required for regular field studies on slopes prone to debris flow and the associated high project budgets and contingencies. With the development of smart models, the design and monitoring of the behavior of the slopes can be achieved at a reduced cost and time. Furthermore, multiple performance evaluation indices were utilized to ensure the model’s accuracy was maintained. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, combined with the particle swarm optimization algorithm, outperformed other techniques. It achieved an FOS of debris flow down a slope performance of over 85%, consistently surpassing other methods.

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