Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission

Abstract

This paper extends the cholera human-to-human direct transmission model from a deterministic to a stochastic framework. This is expressed as mixed system of stochastic and deterministic differential equations. A Lyapunov function is created to investigate the global stability of the stochastic cholera epidemic, which shows the existence of global positivity of the solution using the theory of stopping time. We then find the threshold quantity of the extended stochastic cholera epidemic model. We derive a parametric condition $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, and for additive white noise, we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction and the persistence of the cholera infection. Finally, for a suitable choice of the parameter of the system for $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, we perform numerical simulations for both scenarios of extinction and persistence of the dynamic of the cholera infection.

Keywords

• stochastic cholera epidemic system
• extinction
• persistence
• global positivity
• lyapunov function