Analysis and risk prevention of flooding in high-risk gorges in the city of Arequipa, Peru

Abstract

The city of Arequipa, the second most important city in Perú, faces numerous daunting challenges, including high-intensity but short-in-duration rainfalls that leads to floods and the swelling of the Chili River (mud and landslides). This situation aggravates the vulnerability of the population settled on the margins of the gorges and gullies, due to little or no territorial planning from public institutions. The local news evidence negligence every year, both in terms of human lives and infrastructure loss. The frequency of these events has increased with time and that is the reason for prompting the establishment of rainfall thresholds and the compilation of a 41-year record (1981-2021), with the aim of informing about the dangerousness of an adverse meteorological phenomenon, either predicted or in progress. For the hydrological model, the authors used the highest 24-hour precipitation data from the SENAMHI's stations (National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru) to generate the liquid hydrograph for different return periods with the Hydrologic model of HEC-HMS. Soil mechanics studies were also carried out to determine the rheological parameters of the non-Newtonian flow and then calibrate through historical events in a hydraulic model of HEC-RAS. Finally, cartographic maps in QGIS were prepared to evaluate the hazard zones flooding in the Del Pato, San Lázaro, Venezuela and Los Incas gullies.

Keywords

• extreme events
• rainfall thresholds
• hyper-concentrated flows
• floods
• hazard
• arequipa