Decomposition of influencing factors and its spatial-temporal characteristics of vegetable production: A case study of China

Abstract

China is the largest producer and consumer of vegetables, its vegetable industry is playing an important role in the domestic agricultural sector and global vegetable export market. It is important to promote the long-term sustainable development of Chinese vegetable industry for food security and quality of people’s lives. To find out the intrinsic way to promote the development of Chinese vegetable industry, this paper analyzed the influencing factors of Chinese vegetable production by utilizing the LMDI method and demonstrated the spatial-temporal characteristics of vegetable production through application of the ArcGIS spatial autocorrelation analysis method. The results showed that the influencing factors of vegetable production were the cultivated land area, multiple cropping index, vegetable planting proportion and vegetable yield per hectare in China. The major driving factor had changed from vegetable planting proportion to vegetable yield per hectare. The influencing degrees of factors on vegetable production are different in different regions, regionalization is therefore a major feature of Chinese vegetable production. The government should take production technology, regionalization-driven effect, and marketing integration into consideration to promote the development of Chinese vegetable industry. Keywords: Vegetable production, Influencing factors, Contribution ratio, Logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI)