Possible influence of the large-scale environment on extreme waves over the Yellow Sea in boreal spring

Abstract

The Yellow Sea (YS) is exposed to various weather systems, such as typhoons, monsoon activities, and extratropical cyclones, which can pose a major threat to the adjacent coastal regions through the development of energetic oceanic surface waves. Unusually severe surface wave events in the YS occur with considerable frequency during the boreal spring (March-April-May), but have received less attention compared to winter and summer. This study focuses on the characteristics of spring extreme wave height (EWH) events in the YS during 1979-2022, based on observational and long-term reanalysis datasets. Our analysis shows that extreme waves, i.e. daily maximum heights in the top 5% of all spring days, take about 12 h to build up to the peaks, while they decay more slowly after the peaks. During the extreme events, the Siberian High is found to extend anomalously eastward compared to spring climatology. Such an anomalous extension contributes to the increase of the sea level pressure gradient and the intensification of the surface wind speed in the YS. Meanwhile, in the range of 6 ∼ 24 h following the peaks of the EWH events in the YS, swells induced by strong northerly winds begin to have an impact in the YS. These swells contribute to maintaining higher wave energy levels in the YS for longer after the atmospheric source has been removed. We further explore the large-scale environmental conditions that could provide the predictability of extreme waves in the basin developed by these findings. This study presents implications for assessing the risks associated with extreme waves in coastal regions and for improving coastal management strategies in the YS.

Keywords

• extreme wave energy
• the yellow sea
• predictability