System dynamics simulation model for efficient on-farm carrot cultivation

Abstract

The article describes the development of a simulation model of processes related to carrot cultivation. The obtained digital twin can be used as a model, which is the basis of a comprehensive software solution for control and management of the full life cycle of the specified crop. The use of structural analysis and synthesis methods allowed to establish all objects and parameters of the processes related to the cultivation of carrots. The use of the system dynamics method based on the Forrester model allowed us to develop a parametric model with a detailed description of the resources and characteristics affecting the processes of transformation. The application of the graphical method to the obtained results allowed creating a graphical interpretation of the parametric model for clarity and the possibility of creating scenarios of changes in indicators in order to develop scenarios of effective response to changes in external conditions in the real environment to maintain and increase carrot yields.