Dynamic Emergency Decision-Making Method With Probabilistic Hesitant Fuzzy Information Based on GM(1,1) and TOPSIS

Abstract

Decision-makers (DMs) will face severe challenges when selecting an optimal alternative for an emergency response over multiple time periods. The aim of this paper is to develop a novel dynamic emergency decision-making method with probabilistic hesitant fuzzy information for handling emergencies. First, an approach based on the GM(1,1) model for predicting the decision-making information at the next stage is proposed. Second, a new probabilistic hesitant fuzzy distance measure based on the hesitant degree of the probabilistic hesitant fuzzy element is put forward, and a mathematical programming model to determine the stage weights is established. What is more, the closeness degree between each alternative and the ideal alternative is calculated, and the emergency alternatives are ranked on the strength of the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution method. Moreover, a practical example is used to verify the feasibility and rationality of the proposed method.

Keywords

• Dynamic emergency decision-making
• probabilistic hesitant fuzzy set (PHFS)
• GM(1,1) model
• TOPSIS method