Hour-by-Hour Prediction Model of Air Pollutant Concentration Based on EIDW-Informer—A Case Study of Taiyuan

Abstract

Prediction of air pollutant concentrations is currently one of the most important methods for the prevention and control of urban air pollution in most countries, and accurate and timely prediction of pollutant concentrations is of great significance for urban pollution control. Using Taiyuan, China, as a case study, this study examines how to predict hourly air pollutant concentrations over longer periods of time while ensuring their accuracy. In this paper, an air pollutant concentration prediction method based on improved inverse distance interpolation and Informer model (EIDW-Informer), and hour-by-hour prediction of PM2.5, NO2, and O3 concentrations in Taiyuan, China is carried out. In this study, historical data from seven environmental monitoring stations in Taiyuan City were used to build multidimensional environmental vectors and calculate the similarity between sample points. Then, the missing values in the dataset were interpolated according to the similarity and distance weights, and the long series prediction was performed by Informer. The experimental results show that the EIDW-Informer method has advantages in hour-by-hour prediction compared to LSTM, CNN-LSTM, and Attention-LSTM models, which improves by 20%, 27%, and 43% on 1 h, 8 h, and 72 h time scales, respectively.

Keywords

• atmospheric pollution
• air quality prediction
• PM2.5
• interpolation