Research on Ship Trajectory Prediction Method Based on Difference Long Short-Term Memory

Abstract

This study proposes a solution to the problem of inaccurate and time-consuming ship trajectory prediction caused by frequent ship maneuvering in complex waterways. The proposed solution is a ship trajectory prediction model that uses a difference long short-term memory neural network (D-LSTM). To improve prediction performance and reduce time dependence, the model combines the other variables of dynamic time features in the ship’s Automatic Identification System (AIS) data with nonlinear elements in the sequence data. The effectiveness of this method is demonstrated by comparing its accuracy to other commonly used time series modeling techniques. The results show that the proposed model significantly reduces training time and improves prediction accuracy.

Keywords

• complex waterway
• ship trajectory prediction
• AIS
• difference variables
• D-LSTM