What is the Problem with Investment Disputes? The Case of the Draft Legislative Guide on Investment Dispute Prevention and Mitigation

Abstract

Embedded in any policy proposal is a set of assumptions about the problem that the policy is intended to solve.1 As policy processes play out, some of these assumptions are contested by the actors involved, while others remain latent. Policy discussion about institutionalizing investment dispute prevention reflects a set of assumptions concerning the problem of investment disputes. In this contribution, I examine assumptions embedded in the development of, and the response to, the United Nations Commission on International Trade Law (UNCITRAL) Secretariat's 2023 Draft Legislative Guide on Investment Dispute Prevention and Mitigation. The Draft Legislative Guide represents the high-water mark of efforts to develop a model of investment dispute prevention that could be rolled out at the domestic level. I make three main arguments. First, both the Draft Legislative Guide itself and wider policy discussion assume that investment disputes develop independently of the cognitive and institutional environment in which they occur. As a result, policy discussion overlooks the extent to which dispute prevention initiatives can, counter-intuitively, produce investment disputes. Second, policy discussion of investment dispute prevention assumes that investment disputes have their roots in coordination failures across government, rather than democratic processes, distributive conflicts, or tensions between the interests of investors and wider public interests. This premise, and its implications, deserve much closer critical scrutiny. Third, institutionalized models of investment dispute prevention of the sort envisaged by Draft Legislative Guide are almost exclusively found in developing states. The dispute prevention agenda needs to grapple openly with the fact that advice is being given to developing states to establish dispute prevention institutions that have no equivalents in the domestic systems of developed states.