Model-based insights into aerosol perturbation on pristine continental convective precipitation

Abstract

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is of great importance for weather and climate due to its role as a heat and water resource. Relatively clean aerosol conditions over the Plateau make the study on the aerosol–cloud–precipitation interactions in this pristine continental region distinctive. In order to investigate the impacts of aerosols on small-scale convection processes over the TP, a convective event with precipitation observed on 24 July 2014 in Naqu was selected to explore the influence of aerosols on the onset and intensity of precipitation. We use the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis to derive the cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) number concentration, which can be regarded as the real-time background. These values are adopted to initialize the regional Weather Research Forecast (WRF) 4.0 meteorological model and to simulate the onset of convective events and the formation of precipitation. Four sets of experiments, named clean (1/10 CCN), control (default setting), Tibetan Plateau (CCN calculated from MERRA-2 reanalysis), and polluted (10 times CCN), were adopted for our simulations. A detailed analysis of the microphysical processes shows that the conversion of cloud water into rain is enhanced by small increases in aerosol concentration, while it is suppressed by larger increases in concentration. However, the transformation of cloud water to graupel and the development of convective clouds are favored under a polluted situation. As a result, the onset of the precipitation is delayed and cold-rain intensity increases.