A Model-Agnostic Algorithm for Bayes Error Determination in Binary Classification

Abstract

This paper presents the intrinsic limit determination algorithm (ILD Algorithm), a novel technique to determine the best possible performance, measured in terms of the AUC (area under the ROC curve) and accuracy, that can be obtained from a specific dataset in a binary classification problem with categorical features regardless of the model used. This limit, namely, the Bayes error, is completely independent of any model used and describes an intrinsic property of the dataset. The ILD algorithm thus provides important information regarding the prediction limits of any binary classification algorithm when applied to the considered dataset. In this paper, the algorithm is described in detail, its entire mathematical framework is presented and the pseudocode is given to facilitate its implementation. Finally, an example with a real dataset is given.

Keywords

• machine learning
• intrinsic limits
• ROC curve
• binary classification
• area under the curve
• Naïve Bayes classifier