Raised First Trimester Thyroid Peroxidase Antibodies May Predict First Trimester Miscarriage: A Case Control Study

Abstract

Miscarriages constitute a significant aspect of failed pregnancies and a source of worry for the patient and caregiver. Some of the causes of miscarriages remain unknown. Immunological conditions such as thyroid autoimmunity could play significant roles. Our objective was to determine the relationship between raised thyroid peroxidase antibodies and first trimester miscarriages in a low resource setting. This was a case control study at the Gynaecological Clinic of the University of Calabar Teaching Hospital, Nigeria; from 14th February 2020 to 13th January 2021, involving 145 cases who had first trimester miscarriages, and their matched controls who had apparently normal pregnancies, at same gestational ages. Sera of venous blood from both participants and controls were analysed for thyroid peroxidase antibodies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and analysed using SPSS version 20, and GraphPad Prism 8.4.3 statistical software. Being a civil servant and low social status had significant odds for first trimester miscarriage. Raised thyroid peroxidase antibodies in the first trimester had 10-fold odds for miscarriage. Odds ratio 10.34, 95% CI: 3.22 to 32.98, P-value = 0.0001. The test had a sensitivity of 89.66% and specificity of 54.41%. The positive predictive value was 17.93%, while the negative predictive value was 97.93% and a likelihood ratio of 1.966. Rising thyroid peroxidase antibodies in early pregnancy could be a predictor for miscarriage. This is so because patients with raised thyroid peroxidase antibodies in the first trimester had a 10-fold risk of having a first trimester miscarriage.