Diurnal Variation Characteristics of Summer Precipitation and Related Statistical Analysis in the Ili Region, Xinjiang, Northwest China

Abstract

The diurnal variation characteristics and basic statistical features of summer precipitation (from June to August) in the Ili region from 2015 to 2019 were investigated based on 4 km resolution Weather Research and Forecasting model simulation data from Nanjing University (WRF_NJU). The results show that the overall diurnal variation characteristics of precipitation (DVCP) reflected by the WRF_NJU data were consistent with respect to the observations and reanalysis data. The total precipitation pattern exhibited high (low) values on the east (west), with higher (lower) values over the mountainous (valley) area. Hourly precipitation amount (PA), precipitation frequency (PF), and precipitation intensity (PI) show similar diurnal variation characteristics, with peaks occurring at around 1700 LST in the mountainous area and around 2000 LST in valleys. Furthermore, moderate to intense precipitation contributes up to 87.88% of the total precipitation. The peaks in the mountainous area occur earlier than the valleys, while the peaks in western part of the valleys occur earlier than the eastern part. The PA peaks over the valleys and slopes occurred from the evening to early morning and from the afternoon to evening, respectively. In addition, the rotated empirical orthogonal function (REOF) analysis implied that the DVCP exhibits distinct differences between mountainous and valleys, and peak precipitation occurs during the evening in basin– and wedge–shaped areas, while the mountain peaks and foothill regions exhibit semi–diurnal variation characteristics. Among several basic meteorological factors, the vertical velocity (VV) and water vapor mixing ratio (WVMR) provided major contributions to the DVCP in both areas with high and low coefficients of variation, and the WVMR (VV) probably played a more significant role in mountainous (valleys) areas.

Keywords

• diurnal variation
• Ili region
• precipitation evaluates
• REOF
• CV