Nature Communications (Feb 2020)

Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions

  • Lorenzo Pellis,
  • Simon Cauchemez,
  • Neil M. Ferguson,
  • Christophe Fraser

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14229-4
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 1
pp. 1 – 11

Abstract

Read online

Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.