Deep Learning Algorithms to Predict Output Electrical Power of an Industrial Steam Turbine

Abstract

Among the levers carried in the era of Industry 4.0, there is that of using Artificial Intelligence models to serve the energy interests of industrial companies. The aim of this paper is to estimate the active electrical power generated by industrial units that self-produce electricity. To do this, we conduct a case study of the historical data of the variables influencing this parameter to support the construction of three analytical models three analytical models based on Deep Learning algorithms, which are Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), as well as the hybrid CNN algorithm coupled with LSTM (CNN-LSTM). Subsequently, and thanks to the evaluation of the created models through three mathematical metrics which are Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE), and the variance score (R-squared), we were able to make a comparative study between these models. According to the results of this comparison, we attested that the hybrid model is the one that gives the best prediction results, with the following findings: the variance score was about 98.29%, the value of RMSE was exactly 0.1199 MW, and for MSE the error was equal to 0.0143 MW. The obtained results confirm the reliability of the hybrid model, which can help industrial managers save energy by acting upstream of the process parameters influencing the target variable and avoiding substantial energy bills.

Keywords

• electrical power
• steam turbine
• deep learning
• artificial intelligence
• industry 4.0