Early prediction of need for invasive mechanical ventilation in the neonatal intensive care unit using artificial intelligence and electronic health records: a clinical study

Abstract

Abstract Background Respiratory support is crucial for newborns with underdeveloped lung. The clinical outcomes of patients depend on the clinician’s ability to recognize the status underlying the presented symptoms and signs. With the increasing number of high-risk infants, artificial intelligence (AI) should be considered as a tool for personalized neonatal care. Continuous monitoring of vital signs is essential in cardiorespiratory care. In this study, we developed deep learning (DL) prediction models for rapid and accurate detection of mechanical ventilation requirements in neonates using electronic health records (EHR). Methods We utilized data from the neonatal intensive care unit in a single center, collected between March 3, 2012, and March 4, 2022, including 1,394 patient records used for model development, consisting of 505 and 889 patients with and without invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) support, respectively. The proposed model architecture includes feature embedding using feature-wise fully connected (FC) layers, followed by three bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) layers. Results A mean gestational age (GA) was 36.61 ± 3.25 weeks, and the mean birth weight was 2,734.01 ± 784.98 g. The IMV group had lower GA, birth weight, and longer hospitalization duration than the non-IMV group (P < 0.05). Our proposed model, tested on a dataset from March 4, 2019, to March 4, 2022. The mean AUROC of our proposed model for IMV support prediction performance demonstrated 0.861 (95%CI, 0.853–0.869). It is superior to conventional approaches, such as newborn early warning score systems (NEWS), Random Forest, and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) with 0.611 (95%CI, 0.600–0.622), 0.837 (95%CI, 0.828–0.845), and 0.0.831 (95%CI, 0.821–0.845), respectively. The highest AUPRC value is shown in the proposed model at 0.327 (95%CI, 0.308–0.347). The proposed model performed more accurate predictions as gestational age decreased. Additionally, the model exhibited the lowest alarm rate while maintaining the same sensitivity level. Conclusion Deep learning approaches can help accurately standardize the prediction of invasive mechanical ventilation for neonatal patients and facilitate advanced neonatal care. The results of predictive, recall, and alarm performances of the proposed model outperformed the other models.

Keywords

• Deep learning
• Neonatal intensive care
• Newborn
• Respiratory failure
• Intubation