Prognostic value of transthoracic echocardiography score for the prognosis of continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis patients

Abstract

Abstract Background We devoted ourselves to proving that the initial transthoracic echocardiography score (TTES) had predictive significance for patients with continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD). Methods In this retrospective analysis, 274 CAPD patients who had PD therapy were recruited sequentially. TTE exams were performed three months following the start of PD therapy. All patients were divided into two groups based on the strength of their TTES levels. TTES’s predictive value for CAPD patients was then determined using LASSO regression and Cox regression. Results During a median of 52 months, 46 patients (16.8%) died from all causes, and 32 patients (11.7%) died from cardiovascular disease (CV). The TTES was computed as follows: 0.109 × aortic root diameter (ARD, mm) − 0.976 × LVEF (> 55%, yes or no) + 0.010 × left ventricular max index, (LVMI, g/m2) + 0.035 × E/e’ ratio. The higher TTES value (≥ 3.7) had a higher risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio, HR, 3.70, 95% confidence index, 95%CI, 1.45–9.46, P = 0.006) as well as CV mortality (HR, 2.74, 95%CI 1.15–19.17, P = 0.042). Moreover, the TTES had an attractive predictive efficiency for all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.762, 95%CI 0.645–0.849) and CV mortality (AUC = 0.746, 95%CI 0.640–0.852). The introduced nomogram, which was based on TTES and clinical variables, exhibited a high predictive value for all-cause and CV mortality in CAPD patients. Conclusion TTES is a pretty good predictor of clinical outcomes, and the introduced TTES-based nomogram yields an accurate prediction value for CAPD patients.

Keywords

• Transthoracic echocardiography score
• Continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis
• Mortality
• Nomogram
• End-stage kidney disease