Simulation-based prediction for 5G mobile adoption

Abstract

South Korea launched the world’s first nationwide 5G mobile services on 3 April 2019 and rushed in the race to roll out the latest wireless technology. It is necessary to perform a preliminary estimation of the new mobile market to take advantage of its huge opportunity. This study proposes a customer adoption model based on system dynamics combined with agent-based model to understand the evolution of 5G service better taking into account 5G adoption forecasts under categories with three alternative scenarios. The most important conclusion is that the 5G adoption curve is faster than 4G at the introduction stage.

Keywords

• 5G adoption
• System dynamics
• Forecast