Nature Communications (May 2017)

Progressive approach to eruption at Campi Flegrei caldera in southern Italy

  • Christopher R.J. Kilburn,
  • Giuseppe De Natale,
  • Stefano Carlino

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15312
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 8, no. 1
pp. 1 – 8

Abstract

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Forecasting eruptions at large calderas remains difficult. Here, the authors apply an elastic-brittle failure model to Campi Flegrei to show that successive episodes of unrest lead to a long-term accumulation of stress in the crust, such that conditions may be becoming more favourable to eruption.