Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (Jun 2016)

Brief Communication: Breeding vectors in the phase space reconstructed from time series data

  • E. Lynch,
  • D. Kaufman,
  • A. S. Sharma,
  • E. Kalnay,
  • K. Ide

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-137-2016
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 23, no. 3
pp. 137 – 141

Abstract

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Bred vectors characterize the nonlinear instability of dynamical systems and so far have been computed only for systems with known evolution equations. In this article, bred vectors are computed from a single time series data using time-delay embedding, with a new technique, nearest-neighbor breeding. Since the dynamical properties of the standard and nearest-neighbor breeding are shown to be similar, this provides a new and novel way to model and predict sudden transitions in systems represented by time series data alone.