Estimation of the tumor size at cure threshold among adult patients with adrenocortical carcinoma: A populational-based study

Abstract

Background: The prognostic significance of tumor size with adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) patients has not yet been thoroughly evaluated. Our objective was to investigate the influence of tumor size on prognostic value in adult ACC patients. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program (SEER) was employed to identify adult ACC patients who had been diagnosed from 2004 to 2015. The “X-Tile” program determined the optimal cutoff value of tumor size. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survive (OS) were estimated. The survival outcomes and risk factors were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier methods and the multivariable cox regression respectively. Results: A total 426 adult ACC patients were included. Univariable and multivariable cox analysis revealed age, larger tumor size and metastasis as consistent predictors of lower CSS and OS. The optimal cutoff value of tumor size was identified as 8.5 cm using X-tile software, and Kaplan-Meier method showed dramatic prognostic difference between patients with larger tumors (＞8.5 cm) and smaller tumors (≤8.5 cm) (log-rank test, P < 0.001). Subgroup analyses revealed no statistical significance and a consistent proportionate effect of tumor size on CSS and OS across all eight pre-specified subgroups. Interestingly, an additional subgroup analysis showed that ACC patients could not benefit from chemotherapy in terms of CSS and OS. Conclusion: The study suggests that tumor size is a crucial prognostic factor in ACC patients and a cutoff value 8.5 cm might indicate a poor outcome. Given the limitations of the available data, it is challenging to conclusively determine the benefit of chemotherapy in adult ACC patients across different tumor size ranges.

Keywords

• Tumor size
• Adrenocortical carcinoma
• Chemotherapy
• Prognosis