Prediction of Potential Suitable Distribution Areas for Northeastern China Salamander (<i>Hynobius leechii</i>) in Northeastern China

Abstract

The Northeastern China Salamander (Hynobius leechii) is classified as a rare, nationally protected Class II wild animal in China. Its population is declining, and its habitat is deteriorating. This study aimed to predict the distribution of suitable habitats for the Northeastern China Salamander under both current and future climate scenarios, utilizing the MaxEnt model optimized through ENMeval parameters. Species distribution data were collected from field surveys, existing literature, amphibian records in China, and the Global Biodiversity Information Network. A total of 97 records were compiled, with duplicate records within the ENMTools grid unit removed, ensuring that only one record existed within every 5 km. Ultimately, 58 distinct distribution points for the Northeastern China Salamander were identified. The R software package ‘ENMeval 2.0’ was employed to optimize the feature complexity (FC) and regularization multiplier (RM), and the optimized model was applied to assess the suitable distribution regions for the Northeastern China Salamander under present and future climate conditions. The findings indicated that rainfall and temperature are the primary environmental factors influencing Hynobius. Currently, the suitable habitat for the Northeastern China Salamander constitutes 6.6% of the total area of Northeastern China. Projections for the periods of 2050 and 2070 suggest that suitable habitats for the Northeastern China Salamander will continue to expand towards higher latitudes across three climate scenarios. While this study focuses solely on climate change factors and acknowledges certain limitations, it serves as a reliable reference and provides essential information for the distribution and conservation of the Northeastern China Salamander.

Keywords

• <i>Hynobius leechii</i>
• MaxEnt
• climate change
• distribution pattern
• species conservation