Indian Journal of Public Health (Jan 2020)

Aging of HIV epidemic in India: Insights from HIV estimation modeling under the national aids control programme

  • Pradeep Kumar,
  • Damodar Sahu,
  • Nalini Chandra,
  • Arvind Kumar,
  • Shobini Rajan

DOI
https://doi.org/10.4103/ijph.IJPH_127_20
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 64, no. 5
pp. 76 – 78

Abstract

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People living with HIV are gradually getting older as a result of better survival with increased uptake of antiretroviral treatment in India. We aimed to quantify the aging HIV-infected population in India by undertaking a mathematical model analysis of 2017 rounds of HIV burden estimations under the National AIDS Control Programme. Our analysis projects that the mean age of HIV-infected people will increase from 38.4 years in 2005 to 45.5 years in 2025 with the proportion of HIV-infected people aged 50 years or older increasing from 19% in 2005 to 37% in 2025. This aging HIV epidemic is anticipated to lead to more non-AIDS morbidities, increased treatment complexity, and an inevitable need for multidisciplinary health-care services to ensure continued high-quality survival.

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