The Effect of Data Skewness on the LSTM-Based Mooring Load Prediction Model

Abstract

The working condition of the floating platform will be affected by wind and waves in the marine environment. Therefore, it is of great importance to carry out real-time prediction research on the mooring load for ensuring the normal operation of the floating platform. Current researches have focused on the real-time prediction of mooring load using the machine learning method, but most of the studies are about the application and generalization analysis of different models. There are few studies on the influence of data distribution characteristics on prediction accuracy. In view of the above problems, this paper investigates the effect of data skewness on the prediction performance for the deep learning model. The long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is applied to construct the mooring load prediction model. The numerical simulation datasets of the deep water semi-submersible platform are employed in model training and data analysis. The prediction performance of the model is preliminarily verified based on the simulation results. Meanwhile, the distribution characteristics of mooring load data under different sea states are analyzed and a skewness processing method based on the Box-Cox Transformation (BCT) is proposed. The effect of data skewness on prediction accuracy is further investigated. The comparison results indicate that reducing the mooring load data skewness can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of LSTM model.

Keywords

• mooring load of floating platform
• LSTM model
• data skewness analysis
• Box-Cox Transformation
• numerical simulation verification