The Reliability of Stored Water behind Dams Using the Multi-Component Stress-Strength System

Abstract

Dams are essential infrastructure for managing water resources and providing entry to clean water for human needs. However, the construction and maintenance of dams require careful consideration of their reliability and safety, specifically in the event of extreme weather conditions such as heavy rainfall or flooding. In this study, the stress-strength model provides a useful framework for evaluating the reliability of dams and their ability to cope with external stresses such as water pressure, earthquake activity, and erosion. The Shasta reservoir in the United States is a prime example of a dam that requires regular assessment of its reliability to guarantee the safety of communities and infrastructure. The Gumbel Type II distribution has been suggested as a suitable model for fitting the collected data on the stress and strength of the reservoir behind the Shasta dam. Both classical and Bayesian approaches have been used to estimate the reliability function under the multi-component stress-strength model, and Monte Carlo simulation has been employed for parameter estimation. In addition, some measures of goodness-of-fit are employed to examine the suitability of the suggested model.

Keywords

• Gumbel Type II distribution
• multi-component stress-strength model
• maximum likelihood estimation
• Bayesian estimation
• Monte Carlo simulation
• reliability analysis