Scientific Reports (Nov 2024)

A novel digital-twin approach based on transformer for photovoltaic power prediction

  • Xi Zhao

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-76711-4
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 14, no. 1
pp. 1 – 17

Abstract

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Abstract The prediction of photovoltaic (PV) system performance has been intensively studied as it plays an important role in the context of sustainability and renewable energy generation. In this paper, a digital twin (DT) model based on a domain-matched transformer is proposed using convolutional neural network (CNN) for domain-invariant feature extraction, transformer for PV performance prediction, and domain adaptation neural network (DANN) for domain adaptation. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is validated using a PV power prediction dataset. The results indicate an accuracy improvement of up to 39.99% in model performance. Additionally, experiments with varying numbers of timestamps demonstrate enhanced PV power prediction performance as parameters are continuously updated within the DT framework, offering a reliable solution for real-time and adaptive PV power forecasting.

Keywords