Orographic Construction of a Numerical Weather Prediction Spectral Model Based on ASTER Data and Its Application to Simulation of the Henan 20·7 Extreme Rainfall Event

Abstract

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) has become an important method of predicting extreme weather events, but orography is one of the key factors affecting the performance of NWPs. In this paper, based on Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) elevation data, a method for constructing a global orographic dataset suitable for NWP spectral models is investigated. The Yin-He global spectrum model (YHGSM) is used to simulate the early and peak periods of the extreme rainfall event on 20 July 2021 in Henan Province, China, and the heavy rain in Beijing in order to verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed orographic construction method. It is demonstrated that in a few cases the direct two-dimensional filter can sometimes simulate more intense rainfall, but in general, the bidirectional one-dimensional filter is better than the direct two-dimensional filter in orographic processing, and the bidirectional one-dimensional filter can filter out more of the small-scale orographic information. The effect of the higher orographic resolution before conversion to spectral space is not very obvious, but it is demonstrated that the simulation results are better for the heavy-rainfall level. In conclusion, in most cases, the simulations conducted using the new global orographic dataset based on ASTER data are better than those obtained using the model’s original orography, especially for torrential and extreme rainfall. These conclusions provide a reference for future predictions of and research on extreme rainfall events.

Keywords

• extreme rainfall
• orographic construction
• numerical weather prediction
• filter