Providing predictive models for quality parameters of groundwater resources in arid areas of central Iran: A case study of kashan plain

Abstract

Groundwater pollution can occur due to both anthropogenic and natural causes, leading to a decline in water quality and posing a threat to human health and the environment. The pollution of ground water resources with chemical pollutants is often considered. To manage water resources sustainably, ensuring their quality and quantity is crucial. Yet, testing groundwater can be expensive and time-consuming. So, using modeling to predict the chemical parameters of groundwater resources is considered to be an efficient and economical method. In this study, we examined three models to predict groundwater quality in dry regions by using R programming language. The random forest (RF) outperformed the other models in developing predictive models for water quality. Also, the multiple linear regression (MLR) model demonstrated strong performance, particularly in predicting total hardness (TH) in Aran Va Bidgol groundwater resources. The decision tree (DT) model did well but had lower performance than the RF model in predicting quality parameters. This approach can be efficacious in the field of effective management and protection of groundwater resources and enables the assessment of risks related to water resources.

Keywords

• Chemical parameters
• Groundwater
• Modeling
• Water quality